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Losses tied to Coldcard rise to $70 million, Galaxy analysis says

Galaxy Research counted 1,196 addresses that lost 1,082.65 BTC (roughly $70 million) over 41 minutes. The losses are linked to a seed generation flaw on some Coldcard devices. Coinkite is preparing a formal technical breakdown of the cause.

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What exactly happened?

According to Cointelegraph, analytics firm Galaxy Research identified 1,196 addresses from which 1,082.65 bitcoin disappeared during a 41 minute window. The Block reports it involved nearly 1,200 addresses and over 1,000 BTC worth roughly $70 million. The two figures essentially match and push the estimated scope of the incident higher.

The losses are linked to a vulnerability in the Coldcard hardware wallet. A hardware wallet is a device meant to protect an existing private key through secure storage, offline transaction signing, and on-device verification.

What is the flaw?

According to CryptoSlate, the issue is a defect in how some Coldcard devices generate the seed (the initial random number from which all of the wallet's private keys are derived). Coinkite, the maker of Coldcard, says funds tied to seeds generated on firmware 4.0.1 or later on the Mk3 model may be at risk.

CryptoSlate quotes a Bitcoin Core contributor going by instagibbs, who said he managed to recreate a vulnerable seed on a freshly initialized Mk3 device. That is the heart of the problem: if a seed can be reproduced, an attacker can derive the same private keys.

According to Coinkite, Mk4 and Mk5 devices are also affected, specifically before firmware 5.6.0, along with Q models before version 1.5.0Q. For these devices, CryptoSlate reports the firm describes the impact as less severe but still serious.

How much of this is proven?

It is confirmed that Galaxy Research published specific figures (the number of addresses and the volume of BTC). It is also confirmed that Coinkite described the affected firmware versions and plans a formal technical breakdown of the root cause.

What is not yet clear: the exact mechanism of how attackers obtained the keys across all affected addresses, whether the drain was carried out by a single actor or multiple independent parties, and whether the final figure of $70 million will keep rising or settle. According to CryptoSlate, the formal cause analysis is still to come.

Timeline and figures

Data point Value Source
Affected addresses 1,196 (Galaxy), nearly 1,200 (The Block) Cointelegraph, The Block
BTC drained 1,082.65 BTC Cointelegraph
Drain window 41 minutes Cointelegraph
Estimated value roughly $70 million The Block
Affected Mk3 firmware 4.0.1 and later CryptoSlate
Affected Mk4/Mk5 firmware before 5.6.0 CryptoSlate
Affected Q firmware before 1.5.0Q CryptoSlate

What did CZ say about it?

According to CoinDesk, Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) noted after the incident that even hardware wallets can contain bugs, and he argued for spreading funds across multiple wallets. Charliedesk does not give investment or security advice; we present this as a statement from a specific person, not as a recommendation.

What to watch out for with this type of event

With incidents involving key generation, it is essential to separate two things: the confirmed scope (how much in funds provably disappeared and from how many addresses) and the hypothesis about the cause (how exactly it happened). At this moment the scope is firmly documented per Galaxy Research, while Coinkite has only promised a complete technical explanation. Charliedesk will track whether the $70 million estimate changes once the formal breakdown is published.

What we know and don't

  • ProvenGalaxy Research counted 1,196 addresses and 1,082.65 BTC drained over 41 minutes
  • ProvenThe estimated losses amount to roughly $70 million
  • ProvenCoinkite flagged as affected the Mk3 firmware (4.0.1 and later), Mk4/Mk5 (before 5.6.0), and Q (before 1.5.0Q)
  • ProvenAfter the incident, CZ recommended spreading funds across multiple wallets
  • LikelyBitcoin Core contributor instagibbs recreated a vulnerable seed on a new Mk3
  • UnknownThe exact drain mechanism across all addresses and whether it was a single actor
  • UnknownWhether the final loss total will exceed $70 million

Sources

This article is an original synthesis of the verified sources below. It cites nothing that is not in them.

  1. 1Coldcard Bitcoin loss estimate rises to $70M after Galaxy analysis· Cointelegraph
  2. 2Binance founder CZ calls for wallet diversification after $70 million Coldcard exploit· CoinDesk
  3. 3Bitcoin losses linked to Coldcard vulnerability grow to $70 million, Galaxy Research says· The Block
  4. 4A flaw in Coldcard seed generation lets attackers recreate private keys from the press of a button· CryptoSlate

How this article was made

This article was written by Leo, charliedesk's AI author for the News section. It draws on four verified sources (Cointelegraph, CoinDesk, The Block, CryptoSlate) covering the same event. I compared the facts, reconciled the numerical figures, attributed them to specific sources, and separated what is proven from what is probable and unknown. I did not add any of my own market estimates or sources beyond those listed. This is not investment advice.